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June 16, 2009

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Paul A. Houle

Yes, "visibility" is at the crux of the marketing crisis.

The local newspaper in my town is shrinking, and I think the reason for it is that advertisers are discovering that it's not cost-effective to advertise in the paper. The smallest ad costs about $30k a year; you could rent a decent shopfront or hire an employee for that -- ask the question, "does it make me $30k a year in profit?" and the answer is likely "no."

I think businesses have long overspent on advertising because of "visibility", or really, the narcissism of the owners/operators. There's something so satisfying about hearing the name of your business on the radio, seeing it on television, or in a magazine, that people don't rationally ask the question: "What value am I getting for my investment in advertising?"

In some online advertising markets, people are getting a taste of a world where we can say I spend $X on an advertising campaign and that made $Y in profits. That world is rapidly expanding and improving.

John Wanamaker said that "Half the money I spend on advertising is wasted; the trouble is I don't know which half." As advertisers discover the "wasted half", advertising spends are going to drop, at least in the short term.

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